LisaSullivan7004
0x66f21fa086061e4370c1a2a5006bd08742be2bad
- Realised P&L
- $-112.79
- Volume
- $173.8k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $999.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $60 | 0.710 | 0.772 | $741.89 | +$59.58 |
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No | 0.800 | 0.625 | $212.50 | −$59.50 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.320 | 0.130 | $43.00 | −$62.85 |
| Glean IPO before 2027? · No | 0.780 | 0.915 | $1.83 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$532.38at 0.140Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?
- +$340.55at 0.112Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?
- +$303.20at 0.110Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$293.70at 0.220Will "Tesla" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$270.32at 0.380Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 15:51 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $25.96 |
| 04-13 15:44 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $455.88 |
| 04-13 15:43 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $509.24 |
| 04-13 15:41 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $512.72 |
| 04-12 20:38 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $58.80 |
| 04-12 15:20 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $496.48 |
| 04-11 22:14 | Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $556.40 |
| 04-11 22:12 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.7k |
| 04-11 19:40 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 04-11 10:25 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 04-11 09:48 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 04-11 06:23 | Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30? | SELL | 0.78 | $946.92 |
| 04-11 01:24 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? | BUY | 0.8 | $272.00 |
| 04-10 23:51 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 04-10 22:04 | Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $946.92 |