PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LisaSullivan7004

0x66f21fa086061e4370c1a2a5006bd08742be2bad

Realised P&L
$-112.79
Volume
$173.8k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$999.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.7100.772$741.89+$59.58
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No0.8000.625$212.50$59.50
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.3200.130$43.00$62.85
Glean IPO before 2027? · No0.7800.915$1.83+$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 15:51Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.59$25.96
04-13 15:44Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58$455.88
04-13 15:43Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58$509.24
04-13 15:41Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58$512.72
04-12 20:38Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$58.80
04-12 15:20Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?SELL0.58$496.48
04-11 22:14Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?BUY0.65$556.40
04-11 22:12Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.62$1.7k
04-11 19:40FDA approves Retatrutide this year?SELL0.29$5.80
04-11 10:25Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.16$4.80
04-11 09:48FDA approves Retatrutide this year?SELL0.27$5.40
04-11 06:23Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?SELL0.78$946.92
04-11 01:24Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.8$272.00
04-10 23:51Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.17$5.10
04-10 22:04Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?BUY0.78$946.92
Trader LisaSullivan7004 · PolyBot