PolyBot

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Traders

Thorntonshaw

0x66f056608af119f9d54f4577b9951c74cd14ed53

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$25.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-45.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.8500.835$8.69$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.8300.825$8.58$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.8200.815$8.27$0.05
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5 · Under0.4600.000$0.00$5.0k
Clippers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.7600.000$0.00$3.00
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) · Zheng0.6900.000$0.00$20.00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Raptors (-3.5) · Heat0.5210.000$0.00$20.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 07:00Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.85$8.85
09-15 07:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.8199999842$8.32
09-15 07:00Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.8299999962$8.63
07-17 13:52Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)BUY0.6899999952$20.00
06-09 13:11Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.86$10.00
05-29 08:39Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 30?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
05-29 08:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?BUY0.9579999989$20.00
05-29 08:37Canadiens vs. HurricanesBUY0.699999993$10.00
05-29 08:36Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.4299999871$5.00
04-09 17:17Spread: Raptors (-3.5)BUY0.49$19.00
03-26 15:27Spread: Magic (-15.5)BUY0.52$5.72
03-10 14:23Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?BUY0.988999999$5.89
03-10 14:22Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9899998099$5.00
03-10 14:22Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?BUY0.9789999953$4.00
03-10 14:22Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY0.87$4.00