NickolayKrasotkin
0x66ecaa4916159b33c986c516557d1466417f0db1
- Realised P&L
- $-305.25
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.700Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
- +$19.50at 0.610Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
- +$12.80at 0.680Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$2.38at 0.290MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?
- +$0.02at 0.640Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 13:51 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.0195416824 | $6.00 |
| 07-21 13:51 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.6398653307 | $80.00 |
| 03-15 08:10 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 01-23 09:46 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 01-23 09:45 | Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 01-20 07:45 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 01-20 07:42 | Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January? | BUY | 0.2482621648 | $50.00 |
| 01-19 17:33 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 01-19 17:32 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? | SELL | 0.981 | $3.37 |
| 01-13 14:35 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 01-13 14:33 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |