PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NickolayKrasotkin

0x66ecaa4916159b33c986c516557d1466417f0db1

Realised P&L
$-305.25
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$7.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 13:51Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.0195416824$6.00
07-21 13:51Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.6398653307$80.00
03-15 08:10Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.14$14.00
01-23 09:46Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.3$30.00
01-23 09:45Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January?SELL0.15$15.00
01-20 07:45Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?BUY0.01$5.00
01-20 07:42Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?BUY0.2482621648$50.00
01-19 17:33Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.25$3.00
01-19 17:32MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?SELL0.981$3.37
01-13 14:35Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
01-13 14:33MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?BUY0.2899998666$1.00