moinet
0x66e43c683a560f7454fb07903e53edddf66a3b3f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $277.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $404.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $404.10 | −$1.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20?
- +$3.90at 0.610Hawks vs. Kings
- +$0.87at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
- +$-190.41at 0.993Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 09:44 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.2k |
| 01-20 12:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 01-16 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $869.13 |
| 01-16 11:51 | Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.911 | $646.46 |
| 11-12 14:03 | Hawks vs. Kings | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |