0x66e241aEdA8cD08bc1a660379634A33860681048-1771229341509
0x66e241aeda8cd08bc1a660379634a33860681048
- Realised P&L
- $-51.20
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $108.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.555 | $108.41 | −$51.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.12at 0.830Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$0.62at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?
- +$0.60at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 18?
- +$0.46at 0.995Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$0.40at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 08:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11? | BUY | 0.9964908076 | $159.77 |
| 03-09 22:30 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | SELL | 0.891 | $74.50 |
| 03-08 01:49 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $153.66 |
| 03-07 07:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $153.36 |
| 03-06 23:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $153.21 |
| 03-06 02:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $152.60 |
| 03-05 14:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $152.45 |
| 03-05 03:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $152.30 |
| 03-04 05:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $152.01 |
| 03-01 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $151.86 |
| 02-26 03:45 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9989999991 | $151.71 |
| 02-24 06:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $151.11 |
| 02-23 07:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 24? | BUY | 0.995 | $150.97 |
| 02-20 03:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 20? | BUY | 0.996 | $150.67 |
| 02-19 14:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 19? | BUY | 0.9989999978 | $150.52 |