AntonPrag
0x66e0b8a01c26cc62713bc6a688f071f076d72480
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $185.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.801 | 0.585 | $3.7k | −$1.3k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Ukraine strike on Moscow before November? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.99 |
| Crimean bridge hit before November? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$336.02 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
| Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points? · No | 0.739 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.6kat 0.300Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.078Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.835Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
- +$289.79at 0.347Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$227.53at 0.962Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 15:38 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8008272763 | $5.0k |
| 07-21 20:03 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1658467995 | $140.87 |
| 03-02 14:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.0k |
| 01-19 19:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.1k |
| 01-19 19:40 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.0k |
| 01-18 03:31 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.64 |
| 01-18 03:30 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.9k |
| 01-18 03:29 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $225.23 |
| 01-14 18:39 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $868.75 |
| 01-04 11:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1935266613 | $902.69 |
| 01-02 21:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9618840688 | $4.0k |
| 01-02 20:59 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $500.00 |
| 11-03 19:58 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $1000.00 |
| 11-03 19:57 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9679604252 | $2.7k |
| 11-03 19:46 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.9560752155 | $3.0k |