PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChirpyBird

0x66d661aff4fb9ec2929f1a3a3ba4572b49ce3197

Realised P&L
$-26.29
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.007$1.84$3.16
Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 18:52Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0189999963$5.00
03-19 19:59Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?BUY0.889999996$11.00
03-19 19:59Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31?BUY0.0796392343$4.00
11-01 22:37Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?BUY0.9939998834$6.00
10-20 19:13OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?BUY0.8899999733$3.00
10-20 19:12Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?BUY0.7599997669$3.00
10-20 19:11Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?BUY0.017$1.70
10-20 19:11Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend?BUY0.9869999956$2.00
10-20 19:11Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?BUY0.975$4.00
10-20 19:10Did Ye cheat on Bianca?BUY0.1399999727$4.00
10-20 19:10Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.001$13.00