ChirpyBird
0x66d661aff4fb9ec2929f1a3a3ba4572b49ce3197
- Realised P&L
- $-26.29
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.007 | $1.84 | −$3.16 |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.36at 0.890Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
- +$1.06at 0.002Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?
- +$0.95at 0.760Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
- +$0.37at 0.890OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?
- +$0.10at 0.975Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 18:52 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 19:59 | Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | BUY | 0.889999996 | $11.00 |
| 03-19 19:59 | Will Ethereum hit $2,600.00 again by March 31? | BUY | 0.0796392343 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will Kamala Harris go on SNL? | BUY | 0.9939998834 | $6.00 |
| 10-20 19:13 | OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 19:12 | Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024? | BUY | 0.7599997669 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 19:11 | Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 10-20 19:11 | Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend? | BUY | 0.9869999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 19:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024? | BUY | 0.975 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 19:10 | Did Ye cheat on Bianca? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 19:10 | Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $13.00 |