zhuanzhuanzhuan7777
0x66cb07d63d36bfcf217ed94e72c2f8c2aad35e21
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $25.20
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $8.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.275 | $4.58 | +$1.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.400 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.029 | $1.77 | +$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.075 | $0.59 | −$1.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.48at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?
- +$7.30at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?
- +$-1.36at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 11-01 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0242179617 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 08:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.996 | $8.30 |
| 11-01 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2536585168 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 01:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0493087554 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1799999964 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0160377356 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0409013736 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.48 |
| 10-30 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.3030125263 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |