degenpunter
0x66ca6115fe7c6b1e646aa86f716c92e9cc2d0db6
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $460.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,664
- Open portfolio
- $20.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,664
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.055Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
- +$1.4kat 0.759Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$966.17at 0.745Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
- +$906.22at 0.748Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
- +$823.29at 0.742Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:08 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $47.86 |
| 09-17 14:07 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $36.66 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $97.40 |
| 09-13 15:30 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $95.70 |
| 09-13 15:26 | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9735302 | $97.35 |
| 09-12 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9596733 | $191.93 |
| 09-11 14:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September? | BUY | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 09-11 13:59 | Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $191.60 |
| 09-11 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $138.00 |
| 09-04 14:16 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $96.30 |
| 09-04 14:15 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.986 | $197.20 |
| 09-04 14:12 | Will Claude go down 14+ times in September? | BUY | 0.8636170213 | $81.18 |
| 09-04 14:09 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9859712267 | $39.06 |
| 09-04 14:08 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September? | BUY | 0.985 | $98.50 |