PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x66c8c662d2ebc77220b9e8475603da75b2dcd1fa

Realised P&L
$28.17
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$73.83

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Celonis IPO before 2027? · No0.8900.982$4.91+$0.46
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · No0.9100.965$4.82+$0.27
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.8400.963$4.81+$0.61
Vanta IPO before 2027? · No0.8900.957$4.79+$0.34
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.9000.955$4.78+$0.28
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.936$4.68+$1.03
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? · No0.9100.929$4.65+$0.10
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027? · No0.8600.915$4.58+$0.28
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7300.895$4.47+$0.82
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.6300.870$4.35+$1.20
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.8230.815$4.08$0.04
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.8100.695$3.48$0.57
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? · No0.8200.690$3.45$0.65
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.4300.615$3.08+$0.93
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? · Yes0.5900.535$2.67$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 05:04Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?BUY0.82$4.10
07-02 00:06Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
07-01 23:56Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?BUY0.78$3.90
07-01 20:35Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.63$3.15
07-01 19:37Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?BUY0.35$1.75
07-01 19:01Will Trump say "Golden Age" during remarks at the Burning Hills Amphitheater?BUY0.43$0.50
07-01 17:53Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?BUY0.51$2.55
07-01 17:49Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.64$3.20
07-01 17:07Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.63$3.15
07-01 16:50Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?BUY0.25$1.25
07-01 14:54Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsBUY0.52$4.94
07-01 05:32Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.25$1.25
07-01 01:49Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?BUY0.73$3.65
06-30 19:33Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.81$4.05
06-30 15:58Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?BUY0.543$2.72