walletsun
0x66c7bbf990ad18598c2bb7d4380021fda8cef1f1
- Realised P&L
- $-116.27
- Volume
- $104.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $272.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.955 | $191.00 | +$7.00 |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.365 | $65.54 | +$0.90 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.305 | $16.16 | −$7.15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.40 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.48at 0.748Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$34.00at 0.660Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$24.00at 0.760No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$19.64at 0.006Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$10.09at 0.930Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 08:47 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $64.64 |
| 08-11 08:47 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.89 |
| 06-19 12:51 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $14.72 |
| 06-19 12:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 06-19 12:50 | Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.44 | $23.32 |
| 04-17 09:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $37.40 |
| 04-17 09:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $109.41 |
| 04-17 09:29 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.916 | $205.83 |
| 03-31 13:32 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $21.56 |
| 02-28 11:01 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $28.75 |
| 02-28 11:00 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 02-28 10:59 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $36.75 |
| 01-30 16:38 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.911 | $204.71 |
| 01-30 16:38 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 12-17 13:41 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $22.00 |