PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

darling559

0x66c341c59b40690e39e6de97ac9f0600b240c876

Realised P&L
$-70.64
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$18.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? · No0.5250.520$9.90$0.10
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.6800.735$5.40+$0.40
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.065$1.71$3.29
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.3800.065$1.03$4.97
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.013$0.61$0.39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$5.00
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up0.0270.000$0.00$15.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 18? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$4.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 19:40Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.3799999772$6.00
06-04 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
06-04 19:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
06-04 19:30Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.296818074$5.00
06-04 19:29Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?BUY0.5254860746$10.00
06-04 19:28GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1613249908$5.00
06-04 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.6499999675$5.00
06-04 19:20Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.6006419663$5.00
06-04 19:16Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00
06-04 19:15Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-04 19:15US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.699999972$5.00
06-04 19:14SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.5$6.00
04-19 17:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7099999846$6.00
03-18 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.1699998861$0.99
03-18 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.00