darling559
0x66c341c59b40690e39e6de97ac9f0600b240c876
- Realised P&L
- $-70.64
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $18.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.500SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$4.93at 0.670Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$3.32at 0.601Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$2.45at 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 19:40 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.3799999772 | $6.00 |
| 06-04 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.296818074 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:29 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | BUY | 0.5254860746 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 19:28 | GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1613249908 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6006419663 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:15 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:15 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 19:14 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 04-19 17:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.7099999846 | $6.00 |
| 03-18 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $0.99 |
| 03-18 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |