1369aa
0x66b58093676354bc03bf3a9ead97c230635b5bd9
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $59.00M
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $12.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $7.68 | −$2.56 |
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $5.28 | −$2.26 |
| ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Nino Ehrenschneider · Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.023Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.038Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$86.33at 0.542England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$38.76at 0.038Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$29.64at 0.035Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 15:26 | Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 09-11 15:26 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.00114113 | $2.43 |
| 08-28 05:34 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.95 |
| 08-28 05:33 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.95 |
| 08-28 05:33 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.67 |
| 08-28 05:31 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $26.84 |
| 08-28 05:31 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $26.84 |
| 08-28 05:30 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $26.84 |
| 08-28 05:30 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $26.84 |
| 08-27 12:49 | ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Nino Ehrenschneider | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 06:29 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $26.00 |
| 08-21 06:28 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.39 |
| 08-21 06:28 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.39 |
| 08-21 06:28 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.39 |
| 08-21 06:23 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.34 |