0x66a1af0e92e5c9466a0ccc79a477731eea8beb5e
0x66a1af0e92e5c9466a0ccc79a477731eea8beb5e
- Realised P&L
- $1.02
- Volume
- $498.27
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $3.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.790 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.770 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.175 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.92at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$9.92at 0.237WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?
- +$8.00at 0.278Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$5.73at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$5.24at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:32 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 13:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 04:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 20:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 12:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 02:07 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 17:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 09:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 00:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 03:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 15:50 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 20? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:46 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:43 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 15:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |