0x669CC62A8A40129f7f065785A2b3E444f1300517-1783087811516
0x669cc62a8a40129f7f065785a2b3e444f1300517
- Realised P&L
- $-83.14
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $136.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.46at 0.336Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?
- +$11.53at 0.470Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?
- +$8.30at 0.540Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?
- +$8.04at 0.502Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$5.59at 0.572Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:10 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.20 |
| 09-29 14:45 | Trump renames AI by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.41 |
| 09-24 14:35 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.45 |
| 09-20 23:01 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $9.27 |
| 09-17 22:31 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.232 | $1.16 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.575 | $6.32 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $9.57 |
| 09-15 19:06 | Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.879 | $9.81 |
| 09-11 11:11 | Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.122 | $10.64 |
| 09-11 03:26 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.525 | $9.63 |
| 09-10 21:31 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.112 | $1.12 |
| 09-10 10:16 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.39 |
| 09-09 19:31 | Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | BUY | 0.705 | $9.43 |
| 09-09 12:41 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 09-09 09:31 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.89 | $9.44 |