0x66952ce387cba20942695ad5a245c88eb312f52b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.56
- Volume
- $57.72
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.306 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.270 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.235 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.740 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$0.87at 0.540Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:37 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3869998994 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:09 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:22 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 01:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:49 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:50 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:59 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 12:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:10 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 14:40 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |