XXFOSTER
0x666aa2d4371400963ce20be2f979247f7cc9da22
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $72.4k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $139.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.045 | $62.64 | −$135.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.175 | $38.50 | −$13.29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $28.05 | −$0.55 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.013 | $9.86 | −$7.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.09at 0.492Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9AM ET
- +$29.88at 0.866Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$29.08at 0.954US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$26.00at 0.800Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
- +$20.13at 0.913Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 19:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.80 |
| 08-11 19:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.50 |
| 08-05 15:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 08-05 15:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 07-28 17:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $1.27 |
| 07-28 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $2.51 |
| 07-28 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 07-28 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $0.01 |
| 07-28 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $2.40 |
| 07-28 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $1.18 |
| 07-27 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $0.47 |
| 07-27 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 07-27 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $1.30 |
| 07-27 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $5.30 |