Budapest_o
0x6663716bd537c5ef2b73f819bd4ce3e9122d0888
- Realised P&L
- $-464.30
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.009 | $2.71 | −$140.61 |
| Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.67at 0.650Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$18.64at 0.405Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
- +$-250.00at 0.563Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 23:34 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.449154112 | $143.32 |
| 01-30 20:55 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.427648 | $23.52 |
| 01-30 13:26 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | BUY | 0.4048727273 | $222.68 |
| 11-24 14:09 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5634292873 | $250.00 |
| 11-21 13:40 | Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? | BUY | 0.3426163316 | $200.00 |
| 08-17 11:45 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $607.57 |
| 08-13 11:26 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999996 | $499.90 |