PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

aquafish-..-..-

0x6660b9a1a0609b59463fee67293103019dbcc786

Realised P&L
$503.85
Volume
$29.1k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$436.22

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? · Yes0.8640.840$194.38−$5.62
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · Yes0.8400.843$130.39+$0.39
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.8330.929$111.46+$11.46
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$63.00
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? · No0.3360.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 12:42Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.629999995$20.00
09-09 06:45Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?BUY0.8399999987$130.00
09-09 06:45Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8$147.10
09-08 10:05Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9467903806$20.00
09-08 10:05Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?BUY0.96$200.00
09-08 09:58Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.8334987092$100.00
09-05 20:47Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?BUY0.55$100.00
09-03 10:02Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8299999966$32.00
09-03 10:02Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?SELL0.332559$33.26
09-03 10:02Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8518749961$47.00
09-03 07:30Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.689999999$100.00
09-03 07:29Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.68$26.49
09-02 20:35Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?BUY0.68$4.76
09-02 19:29Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.41$20.50
09-02 18:08Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?BUY0.8642993622$200.00