breakitout
0x6655453d6efea3d017ff5ef96690349fc3df44f3
- Realised P&L
- $-108.66
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $53.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $26.71 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on October 5? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $26.34 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.09at 0.871Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8?
- +$5.04at 0.886Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?
- +$4.60at 0.933Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 16?
- +$4.01at 0.900Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?
- +$2.65at 0.866Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.80 |
| 10-04 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.30 |
| 10-03 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $26.20 |
| 10-02 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.25 |
| 10-01 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9909185783 | $25.95 |
| 09-30 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9945153141 | $26.10 |
| 09-29 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9669999992 | $25.25 |
| 09-29 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $25.30 |
| 09-26 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $25.25 |
| 09-26 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9973188879 | $25.20 |
| 09-24 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.20 |
| 09-23 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.93 |
| 09-22 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.20 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $25.15 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.20 |