PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

STEXRESPECTER

0x66535404cff2532c1a82c0fdb09b4d0690827a41

Realised P&L
$501.97
Volume
$26.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.086$438.46+$238.46
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3170.335$347.85+$18.61
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7600.525$286.03$128.14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3860.415$129.11+$9.11
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0170.004$12.94$37.06
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? · Yes0.4000.105$10.50$29.50
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 23:022026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3599999946$40.00
04-01 22:59Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0173871967$50.00
04-01 22:58Will Dan Muse win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?BUY0.065064772$10.00
04-01 22:42Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.0719137011$25.00
12-29 21:20Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.0542702813$100.00
12-17 23:44Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.76$66.17
12-17 23:41Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.064$25.60
12-17 23:40Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.038$34.83
12-17 21:45Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?BUY0.26$11.70
12-17 21:44Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?BUY0.259$12.95
12-17 21:44Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?BUY0.257$10.54
12-17 21:44Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?BUY0.256$10.50
12-17 21:29Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2899999902$14.51
12-13 00:08Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.039$200.00
12-13 00:07Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7759263864$200.00