STEXRESPECTER
0x66535404cff2532c1a82c0fdb09b4d0690827a41
- Realised P&L
- $501.97
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.086 | $438.46 | +$238.46 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.335 | $347.85 | +$18.61 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.525 | $286.03 | −$128.14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.386 | 0.415 | $129.11 | +$9.11 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.004 | $12.94 | −$37.06 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.105 | $10.50 | −$29.50 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$526.34at 0.409Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
- +$422.60at 0.367Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
- +$112.13at 0.471Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$66.07at 0.560Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
- +$50.00at 0.500Capitals vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 23:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3599999946 | $40.00 |
| 04-01 22:59 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0173871967 | $50.00 |
| 04-01 22:58 | Will Dan Muse win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? | BUY | 0.065064772 | $10.00 |
| 04-01 22:42 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.0719137011 | $25.00 |
| 12-29 21:20 | Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.0542702813 | $100.00 |
| 12-17 23:44 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $66.17 |
| 12-17 23:41 | Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $25.60 |
| 12-17 23:40 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $34.83 |
| 12-17 21:45 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $11.70 |
| 12-17 21:44 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31? | BUY | 0.259 | $12.95 |
| 12-17 21:44 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31? | BUY | 0.257 | $10.54 |
| 12-17 21:44 | Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31? | BUY | 0.256 | $10.50 |
| 12-17 21:29 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999902 | $14.51 |
| 12-13 00:08 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.039 | $200.00 |
| 12-13 00:07 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7759263864 | $200.00 |