PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sparklingwater123

0x664ce9fb97ae1bbd538d7381b2f4e92dab16f49c

Realised P&L
$8.47M
Volume
$19.00M
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar44.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$318.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 23:00Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6139746142$333.0k
06-25 22:59Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6186812935$114.6k
06-25 22:59Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6135849499$16.0k
06-25 22:59Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6093021305$87.1k
06-25 22:59Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6070309793$414.0k
06-25 22:59Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6067729311$408.3k
06-25 22:59Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6074289048$145.1k
06-25 22:58Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6079528641$354.5k
06-25 22:58Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6037375112$104.7k
06-25 22:58Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6060768679$113.6k
06-25 22:58Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6079510007$624.5k
06-25 22:58Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.603830348$259.4k
06-25 22:57Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6030858864$564.0k
06-25 22:55Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.3096649666$88.5k
06-25 22:54Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5939949731$32.8k