sparklingwater123
0x664ce9fb97ae1bbd538d7381b2f4e92dab16f49c
- Realised P&L
- $8.47M
- Volume
- $19.00M
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar44.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$318.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.70Mat 0.594Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
- +$2.24Mat 0.439Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$1.85Mat 0.216Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 23:00 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6139746142 | $333.0k |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6186812935 | $114.6k |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6135849499 | $16.0k |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6093021305 | $87.1k |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6070309793 | $414.0k |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6067729311 | $408.3k |
| 06-25 22:59 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6074289048 | $145.1k |
| 06-25 22:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6079528641 | $354.5k |
| 06-25 22:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6037375112 | $104.7k |
| 06-25 22:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6060768679 | $113.6k |
| 06-25 22:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6079510007 | $624.5k |
| 06-25 22:58 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.603830348 | $259.4k |
| 06-25 22:57 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6030858864 | $564.0k |
| 06-25 22:55 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.3096649666 | $88.5k |
| 06-25 22:54 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5939949731 | $32.8k |