itsonlyamatteroftime
0x664a25f165a0150ce687410470f3352f5783fc5f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.49M
- Volume
- $48.07M
- Markets traded
- 39,726
- Open portfolio
- $36.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded39,726
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.7kat 0.378Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$33.1kat 0.346Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$31.8kat 0.545Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$31.3kat 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$29.8kat 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:25 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.21 | $4.86 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.4828571429 | $16.90 |
| 11-01 15:04 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.22 | $149.59 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.33 | $19.80 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.329 | $19.74 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.3 | $14.40 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 11-01 14:59 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.29 | $7.25 |
| 11-01 14:58 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 11-01 14:58 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.73 | $1.46 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 11-01 14:53 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |