0x664396744ac0c6ac84fdc48db070423b032e0109
0x664396744ac0c6ac84fdc48db070423b032e0109
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $533.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,490
- Open portfolio
- $156.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,490
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.476House control after 2024 election?
- +$1.0kat 0.282Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$560.21at 0.260Army vs. UTSA Roadrunners
- +$524.43at 0.210Knicks vs. Kings
- +$367.31at 0.134Nets vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:49 | Will SG Sacavenense vs. Real SC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.95 | $10.24 |
| 08-23 01:48 | Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.71 | $42.60 |
| 08-23 01:48 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.73 | $67.01 |
| 08-14 14:27 | Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-14 14:27 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-10 15:44 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-10 15:44 | Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-11 14:55 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.05 |
| 07-01 11:12 | Counter-Strike: Wampirki vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | SELL | 0.34 | $0.95 |
| 06-30 21:43 | Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.17 | $3.05 |
| 06-25 23:44 | Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffs | SELL | 0.45 | $1.08 |
| 06-25 11:04 | Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A | BUY | 0.64 | $6.05 |
| 06-24 10:01 | Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.67 | $10.17 |
| 06-23 20:01 | Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $3.83 |
| 06-23 18:59 | Map Handicap: ATRIX (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5) | BUY | 0.08 | $2.35 |