0x663e6ba5d2404ef96b48d27a3753af4a58ea5426
- Realised P&L
- $2.59
- Volume
- $193.83
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $29.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.208 | $29.67 | +$7.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.707 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.03at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7067045303 | $15.00 |
| 07-18 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 11:26 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.1572874209 | $22.38 |