PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hgoudatx

0x663c5a23702b8f36880bc57d763d8be9246026f3

Realised P&L
$25.79
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
957
Open portfolio
$1.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded957
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3300.305$0.92$0.08
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25? · Yes0.0240.013$0.56$0.44
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.2000.085$0.42$0.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.8700.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$6.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$4.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00$1.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-17 23:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSELL0.88$5.57
09-17 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-17 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETSELL0.76$6.33
09-17 23:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.599999952$5.00
09-17 23:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.99$5.56
09-17 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.8899999252$5.00
09-17 23:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.76$6.33
09-17 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
09-17 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.4$4.08
09-17 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-17 22:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSELL0.02$0.11
09-17 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00
09-17 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSELL0.86$5.89
09-17 22:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.7299999007$5.00