0x663910c06d4877e0da90e45772032c95afaf858d
0x663910c06d4877e0da90e45772032c95afaf858d
- Realised P&L
- $-82.69
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $0.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.018 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.68at 0.595Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$7.43at 0.291Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$6.37at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$5.55at 0.713Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$5.17at 0.173Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:45 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.13 |
| 09-25 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $1.19 |
| 09-25 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:06 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6799999665 | $6.50 |
| 09-22 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $2.23 |
| 09-22 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $0.76 |
| 09-22 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 13:26 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.64 | $18.00 |
| 09-12 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |