0x66362576dA0959eFE4ECDB71eCB2eb9f30096F29-1775719308646
0x66362576da0959efe4ecdb71ecb2eb9f30096f29
- Realised P&L
- $-571.07
- Volume
- $42.1k
- Markets traded
- 690
- Open portfolio
- $3.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded690
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.77at 0.432Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?
- +$42.20at 0.133Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?
- +$17.46at 0.647Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?
- +$14.12at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$13.86at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 15:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-20 14:47 | Will "Mutiny" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.52 |
| 08-20 13:56 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-20 10:04 | Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-20 10:03 | Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 08-20 10:03 | Will Jongizizwe Dlabathi be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-20 05:38 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-20 04:27 | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-18 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999774 | $4.94 |
| 08-18 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 08-18 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5644580426 | $4.95 |
| 08-17 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999878 | $4.41 |
| 08-17 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999749 | $4.90 |
| 08-17 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.122388322 | $4.59 |
| 08-17 02:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $4.94 |