bot-wordpicker
0x6630c703d13e5d63c818b91b9cbe5bfe36376ae9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 511
- Open portfolio
- $23.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded511
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$433.89at 0.459Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$131.24at 0.581Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Germany vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$76.13at 0.590Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$25.20at 0.160Will Dell say "Data Center" 10+ times during earnings call?
- +$17.20at 0.070Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:25 | Linera listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.0775 | $1.55 |
| 10-06 17:24 | Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 09-07 00:36 | Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-07 00:35 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 00:33 | Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | SELL | 0.224 | $3.38 |
| 09-07 00:32 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-07 00:30 | Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 00:30 | Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 09-02 19:01 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.85 |
| 09-02 19:00 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.16 |
| 09-02 18:50 | Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 18:49 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-02 18:49 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 18:48 | Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 09-02 18:48 | Will Baba Wali win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |