e58xukrsmqza
0x6626c7c1c850f4745730d06737e5870ed131584c
- Realised P&L
- $-11.34
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $25.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.034 | $7.12 | +$2.12 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.800 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.957 | $4.30 | +$0.03 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.964 | $4.06 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.945 | $2.26 | +$0.04 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.927 | 0.954 | $1.64 | +$0.05 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.130 | $1.08 | −$3.74 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.004 | $0.30 | −$4.70 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.71at 0.522Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?
- +$3.04at 0.141Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$0.87at 0.826Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
- +$0.82at 0.636Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$0.21at 0.798Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:18 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $0.92 |
| 10-27 04:20 | Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan? | BUY | 0.0235186209 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:37 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $0.02 |
| 10-22 09:17 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.11 |
| 10-18 20:26 | Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-18 20:07 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.04 |
| 10-18 20:07 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.04 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.03 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.01 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.51 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.29 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.14 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.69 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.78 |
| 10-18 20:06 | Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.31 |