ccdsg
0x661ef39ad31e04a577b37ae6b0623a2ed0119656
- Realised P&L
- $-23.02
- Volume
- $700.29
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.565 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.17at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12PM ET
- +$3.48at 0.720Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 3PM ET
- +$2.46at 0.838Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET
- +$2.14at 0.280Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 18:22 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:22 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:05 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:05 | Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:04 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 12:51 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 22:15 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 22:06 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.9975 | $1.61 |
| 07-08 09:29 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 09:29 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 03:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 07:28 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 08:44 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 16:15 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 12:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |