ysszayz
0x6619dcb65297ddeb3cd3053eea62cf4208270a5d
- Realised P&L
- $254.50
- Volume
- $57.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.553 | $1.2k | +$123.42 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.072 | $693.06 | +$226.90 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.600 | $460.82 | −$49.18 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.503 | $455.24 | −$44.75 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.732 | 0.755 | $453.61 | +$13.88 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.657 | 0.639 | $360.34 | −$9.66 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.521 | 0.525 | $214.94 | +$1.74 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.720 | 0.695 | $193.06 | −$6.94 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.335 | $90.54 | −$9.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-50.16at 0.039Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-59.85at 0.019Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-77.03at 0.045Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:16 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.073 | $142.72 |
| 09-17 20:16 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 09-14 20:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6419999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 12:35 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0845534851 | $113.21 |
| 09-13 12:35 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.72 | $118.80 |
| 09-13 08:03 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5207632364 | $213.21 |
| 09-13 08:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4992761295 | $250.00 |
| 09-13 08:01 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6552782098 | $120.00 |
| 09-13 08:01 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 08:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.664496617 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 07:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 07:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5529999995 | $500.00 |
| 09-13 07:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 07:55 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $380.00 |
| 09-13 07:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4978506548 | $500.00 |