0x660d0e3e51e03b7db66afd4a958138cc03bffe43
0x660d0e3e51e03b7db66afd4a958138cc03bffe43
- Realised P&L
- $-16.41
- Volume
- $168.57
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $3.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.740 | 1.000 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.305 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.510 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.93at 0.450Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.510US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.86at 0.379Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.74at 0.540Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.59at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 18:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 10:37 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 02:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7529999548 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 09:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:00 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:10 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |