0x6608f808d4CFf3e5fE7DC6aCf5e5D0bA862e35D3-1767865975026
0x6608f808d4cff3e5fe7dc6acf5e5d0ba862e35d3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $192.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $333.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.469Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.446Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
- +$951.07at 0.260US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$906.41at 0.566US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$880.02at 0.730US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.9199999999 | $301.00 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $75.85 |
| 08-02 21:56 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $54.00 |
| 08-02 21:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $171.00 |
| 07-22 15:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.5784355263 | $43.96 |
| 07-22 15:10 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $41.60 |
| 07-02 06:57 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 07-02 06:56 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 10:16 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 05-18 10:14 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 12:11 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $195.78 |
| 05-14 12:10 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 05-14 06:31 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 05-14 06:29 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $103.40 |
| 05-14 06:28 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $168.00 |