SArmin
0x660597847c5f1ed1f5f16bd50507d7977db7e8df
- Realised P&L
- $-41.11
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $300.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.045 | $300.30 | −$827.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.08at 0.610Will Trump say "Border" 10 or more times during victory rally?
- +$8.11at 0.130Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
- +$-0.00at 0.290Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$-5.00at 0.096Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
- +$-5.00at 0.059Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 13:38 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.42 |
| 05-06 13:38 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.0k |
| 05-06 13:02 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.16 | $108.50 |
| 01-26 14:49 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.048 | $9.84 |
| 01-25 18:51 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.0279999969 | $8.58 |
| 01-20 18:41 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.0413660522 | $6.12 |
| 01-20 08:20 | Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 08:20 | Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.0588822246 | $5.00 |
| 01-20 08:20 | Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.0961538462 | $5.00 |
| 01-20 08:19 | Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech? | BUY | 0.2254901791 | $10.00 |
| 01-16 16:47 | Will Trump say "Border" 10 or more times during victory rally? | BUY | 0.6099999909 | $22.03 |
| 01-16 16:46 | Will Trump say "Kamala" 5 or more times during victory rally? | BUY | 0.1899999941 | $22.00 |
| 01-16 16:45 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | SELL | 0.0459941667 | $14.82 |
| 01-16 16:44 | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | SELL | 0.1826890276 | $28.10 |
| 01-16 16:44 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.00 |