0x65fad1357bfa912abcf82c598e3e2e72aac4775c
0x65fad1357bfa912abcf82c598e3e2e72aac4775c
- Realised P&L
- $0.48
- Volume
- $78.33
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $4.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.575 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.755 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.690 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.200 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.205 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? · Down | 0.330 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$2.96at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.19at 0.321Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
- +$1.25at 0.451Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:27 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:28 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:41 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:39 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:36 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:03 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:33 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:16 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4409999409 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:25 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:26 | Will Cracker Barrel say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |