0x65fa788f3a3365cad49f7db371cc0f39cbcd5430
0x65fa788f3a3365cad49f7db371cc0f39cbcd5430
- Realised P&L
- $-210.72
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $35.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $9.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.405 | $9.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $7.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.475 | $7.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.37at 0.563Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$67.75at 0.323Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$62.65at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$62.26at 0.341Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$58.01at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 01:41 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4899999884 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 01:41 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $8.00 |
| 10-11 01:41 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 01:40 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $9.00 |
| 10-10 16:23 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 20:35 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.98 | $24.50 |
| 10-05 23:30 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 23:30 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 23:30 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 23:29 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 21:57 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 21:55 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.30 |
| 10-03 23:10 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 00:46 | Will England win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.5399999833 | $11.00 |
| 10-02 00:46 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.3499999978 | $8.00 |