PolyBot

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Traders

lexus100

0x65f3656103e8350b6b0a8ac629b05583df9c5d6c

Realised P&L
$20.17
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$194.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.825$66.00−$1.20
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8900.855$51.30−$2.10
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8700.984$39.34+$4.54
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7700.560$28.00−$10.50
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.095$9.50−$8.50
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$4.30
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$37.00
Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$30.00
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$9.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 16:09Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.6499999865$4.80
10-22 21:37Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.84$67.20
10-22 21:36Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.89$53.40
09-30 20:30Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.972$38.88
08-09 23:34Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?BUY0.87$34.80
08-07 22:02Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7$35.00
07-03 15:59Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$53.58
06-23 13:21Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.7431629013$25.00
06-22 19:29Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4499999962$30.00
06-22 09:48Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.991$62.43
06-16 09:22Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.88$56.28
06-14 13:15Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8599999984$55.00
06-13 20:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.96$25.32
06-11 22:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.93$46.50
06-11 15:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.93$46.50