lexus100
0x65f3656103e8350b6b0a8ac629b05583df9c5d6c
- Realised P&L
- $20.17
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $194.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.71at 0.700Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$12.42at 0.463Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$12.01at 0.788Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$9.90at 0.780Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.47at 0.895Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 16:09 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6499999865 | $4.80 |
| 10-22 21:37 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $67.20 |
| 10-22 21:36 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $53.40 |
| 09-30 20:30 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $38.88 |
| 08-09 23:34 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 08-07 22:02 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 07-03 15:59 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.58 |
| 06-23 13:21 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7431629013 | $25.00 |
| 06-22 19:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4499999962 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 09:48 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.991 | $62.43 |
| 06-16 09:22 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.88 | $56.28 |
| 06-14 13:15 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8599999984 | $55.00 |
| 06-13 20:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.96 | $25.32 |
| 06-11 22:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 06-11 15:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $46.50 |