felipeonpredictionmarkets

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

✕ BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%

Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.

✕ BlockerMarkets traded16

Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.

? Not knownProfit concentration—

No settled positions sampled.

? Not knownSettled sample0 positions

Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.

▲ CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position

Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.