lauriecruz
0x65d9d4e2d37353b7e0cda6c963f689cd03b1dc90
- Realised P&L
- $-21.35
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $23.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.810 | $23.03 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.953Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.21at 0.995Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?
- +$0.18at 0.995Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.16at 0.990Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.13at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:01 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989997694 | $4.06 |
| 01-31 13:37 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.18 |
| 01-30 16:05 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.59 |
| 01-30 15:51 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.64 |
| 01-30 14:55 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $42.29 |
| 01-30 13:16 | Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.29 |
| 12-30 11:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.64 |
| 12-30 09:10 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.98 |
| 12-30 01:11 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999764 | $19.52 |
| 12-29 21:06 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.07 |
| 12-29 20:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999568 | $17.53 |
| 12-29 20:23 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.94 |
| 10-30 17:50 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.953 | $30.03 |
| 10-30 17:41 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.60 |
| 09-29 13:31 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.26 |