PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lauriecruz

0x65d9d4e2d37353b7e0cda6c963f689cd03b1dc90

Realised P&L
$-21.35
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$23.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? · Yes0.8800.810$23.03−$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:01Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?BUY0.9989997694$4.06
01-31 13:37Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$20.18
01-30 16:05Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?BUY0.999$8.59
01-30 15:51Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?BUY0.998$9.64
01-30 14:55Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.995$42.29
01-30 13:16Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January?BUY0.999$27.29
12-30 11:41Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?BUY0.998$6.64
12-30 09:10Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$13.98
12-30 01:11Dogecoin all time high before 2026?BUY0.9989999764$19.52
12-29 21:06Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$23.07
12-29 20:51Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999568$17.53
12-29 20:23Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.998$23.94
10-30 17:50Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.953$30.03
10-30 17:41Will Solana dip to $120 in October?BUY0.998$35.60
09-29 13:31Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?BUY0.999$13.26