0x65d673b1D51B475db3e4ca5B19a441e9b114bE38-1791899412446
0x65d673b1d51b475db3e4ca5b19a441e9b114be38
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $123.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $64.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lech Poznan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.022 | $27.82 | +$24.48 |
| Will Lillestrom win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.015 | $24.57 | +$18.19 |
| Will OFI win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.011 | $11.10 | +$8.56 |
| Will Levski Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.022 | $0.67 | +$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.002Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$121.60at 0.055Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?
- +$4.98at 0.500Spotify Monthly Active Users above 770M in Q3?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Gemini Argon be released on October 16, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Gemini Argon be released on October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 02:44 | Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.76 |
| 10-14 02:44 | Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.48 |
| 10-14 02:44 | Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.99 |
| 10-14 02:44 | Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.98 |
| 10-14 02:44 | Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.26 |
| 10-14 02:44 | Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.0023806238 | $77.53 |
| 10-13 17:28 | Will Lech Poznan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.0026382351 | $3.34 |
| 10-13 17:28 | Will Levski Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.0026360403 | $3.39 |
| 10-13 17:26 | Will Lillestrom win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.004020084 | $6.37 |
| 10-13 17:16 | Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.39 |
| 10-13 17:15 | Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.52 |
| 10-13 17:10 | Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.78 |
| 10-13 17:03 | Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.039 | $2.77 |
| 10-13 16:52 | Will OFI win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.0026360403 | $3.39 |
| 10-13 16:07 | Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.1059999917 | $1.00 |