0x65d15a0bd0dc96aef64f45425fe994d515c393a3
0x65d15a0bd0dc96aef64f45425fe994d515c393a3
- Realised P&L
- $-23.73
- Volume
- $56.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $8.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $8.00 | −$72.00 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.60 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.58at 0.009Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.70at 0.926Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
- +$0.78at 0.980Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
- +$0.43at 0.982Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$0.16at 0.992Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 10:29 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $85.86 |
| 02-21 10:39 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $77.25 |
| 02-21 10:38 | Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 01-05 07:51 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.34 |
| 01-05 07:50 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.00 |
| 01-05 07:50 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | BUY | 0.993 | $21.00 |
| 12-09 01:32 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9819999925 | $23.71 |
| 11-20 05:29 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 11-05 06:57 | Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025? | BUY | 0.98 | $38.22 |