0x65CE21c7cAc4Ec6CA1410De8f46E0cae06996Ff8-1755032996116
0x65ce21c7cac4ec6ca1410de8f46e0cae06996ff8
- Realised P&L
- $-902.71
- Volume
- $48.4k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $14.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.575 | $5.75 | +$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? · No | 0.400 | 0.395 | $5.13 | −$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? · No | 0.380 | 0.410 | $4.10 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.63at 0.110Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
- +$82.51at 0.155Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?
- +$61.53at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?
- +$56.30at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?
- +$42.01at 0.461Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.245 | $4.90 |
| 08-05 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 08-05 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.78 |
| 08-05 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-05 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-05 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.38 |
| 08-05 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.44 |
| 08-05 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.78 |
| 08-05 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.91 |