0x65CE21c7cAc4Ec6CA1410De8f46E0cae06996Ff8-1755032996116
0x65ce21c7cac4ec6ca1410de8f46e0cae06996ff8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $71.3k
- Markets traded
- 941
- Open portfolio
- $13.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded941
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.355 | $6.92 | −$0.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.190 | $6.33 | +$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 30? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.64at 0.110Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
- +$82.40at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?
- +$60.91at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?
- +$56.30at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?
- +$41.56at 0.461Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.33 |
| 09-30 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3948717949 | $3.85 |
| 09-30 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.80 |
| 09-30 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.1557482993 | $3.66 |
| 09-29 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4044432773 | $3.85 |
| 09-29 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.74 |
| 09-29 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.53 |
| 09-28 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.78 |
| 09-28 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.81 |
| 09-28 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.82 |
| 09-28 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.306 | $3.82 |
| 09-28 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.78 |
| 09-28 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.53 |
| 09-28 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.76 |
| 09-28 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.71 |