PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Thunderffs

0x65bd1e33ca0fd7aa0230d77fe2d75c05bfd57d2c

Realised P&L
$3.40
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$6.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9980.998$6.00$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 09:43Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.998$6.00
07-20 09:13Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.9849999992$6.00
07-01 06:35Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.999$5.34
06-10 09:23Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 10?BUY0.996$5.00
06-10 08:23Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.986$9.23
05-27 06:04Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 27?BUY0.995$6.00
05-27 05:57Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9819999998$9.20
04-24 02:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?BUY0.999$6.48
04-15 01:50Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.999$8.46
03-14 07:26Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$14.26
02-28 07:35Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$14.29
02-09 09:10Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.992$377.62
02-09 06:53Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.994$378.39
02-09 05:28Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.993$352.46
02-09 02:37Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.995$353.17