Thunderffs
0x65bd1e33ca0fd7aa0230d77fe2d75c05bfd57d2c
- Realised P&L
- $3.40
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $6.00 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.03at 0.460Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$4.24at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$3.25at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?
- +$0.09at 0.986Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.995Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-20 09:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999992 | $6.00 |
| 07-01 06:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.34 |
| 06-10 09:23 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 08:23 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.986 | $9.23 |
| 05-27 06:04 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 05-27 05:57 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $9.20 |
| 04-24 02:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.48 |
| 04-15 01:50 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.46 |
| 03-14 07:26 | Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.26 |
| 02-28 07:35 | Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.29 |
| 02-09 09:10 | Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.992 | $377.62 |
| 02-09 06:53 | Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.994 | $378.39 |
| 02-09 05:28 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.993 | $352.46 |
| 02-09 02:37 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.995 | $353.17 |