PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

thionras

0x65b9530c2405d3578704a65caf17cba120ea1d5f

Realised P&L
$8.2k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1350.141$4.8k+$221.25
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.036$1.2k+$216.70
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$5.8k
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$5.7k
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$723.18
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00−$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 05:30Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.1468515253$3.9k
10-01 06:49Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0881727396$507.44
10-01 06:48Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.229$114.50
10-01 06:44Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.03$999.99
10-01 06:43Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.22$210.00
09-12 05:16Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.13$235.44
09-12 05:13Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0514591406$838.00
09-10 23:27Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.12$1.69
09-10 23:25Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0528104343$510.09
09-07 23:11Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0503418661$942.21
09-07 23:07Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.12$355.63
09-04 04:17Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?BUY0.11$0.19
08-21 23:37Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.013$29.82
07-19 01:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$34.4k
06-13 04:34Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.079$3.8k