thionras
0x65b9530c2405d3578704a65caf17cba120ea1d5f
- Realised P&L
- $8.2k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.141 | $4.8k | +$221.25 |
| Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.036 | $1.2k | +$216.70 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.8k |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.7k |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$723.18 |
| Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.0kat 0.800Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$-1.9kat 0.132Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
- +$-2.1kat 0.155Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
- +$-3.1kat 0.069Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 05:30 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1468515253 | $3.9k |
| 10-01 06:49 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0881727396 | $507.44 |
| 10-01 06:48 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.229 | $114.50 |
| 10-01 06:44 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.03 | $999.99 |
| 10-01 06:43 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.22 | $210.00 |
| 09-12 05:16 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.13 | $235.44 |
| 09-12 05:13 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0514591406 | $838.00 |
| 09-10 23:27 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.69 |
| 09-10 23:25 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0528104343 | $510.09 |
| 09-07 23:11 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0503418661 | $942.21 |
| 09-07 23:07 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.12 | $355.63 |
| 09-04 04:17 | Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.19 |
| 08-21 23:37 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.013 | $29.82 |
| 07-19 01:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $34.4k |
| 06-13 04:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.079 | $3.8k |