0x65b4CC113EF78711D8e7503551f1E4a32F638229-1757655920269
0x65b4cc113ef78711d8e7503551f1e4a32f638229
- Realised P&L
- $6.95
- Volume
- $983.11
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $12.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.180 | $7.78 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.038 | $3.89 | −$1.11 |
| Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Oklahoma not air? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.009 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 12? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Finland" or "Canada" 15+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.99at 0.400Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?
- +$4.54at 0.480Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
- +$4.09at 0.504Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?
- +$-0.55at 0.550Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?
- +$-7.07at 0.348Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 11:08 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.1799999984 | $6.78 |
| 09-30 11:07 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Oklahoma not air? | BUY | 0.0196261682 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:06 | Will Trump say "Ass" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:06 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.0494615614 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.77 |
| 10-13 11:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1959999691 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.3027888188 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 07:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | SELL | 0.399 | $0.79 |
| 10-13 04:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.3219999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 17:23 | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.79 |
| 10-12 17:09 | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | BUY | 0.5042581748 | $15.00 |
| 10-12 15:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 12? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 13:40 | Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 12? | SELL | 0.632 | $19.22 |