fernandes1marcio
0x65af834706c475f0a3569b8c0d08d57f25aef767
- Realised P&L
- $-588.49
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $735.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.109 | $474.99 | −$290.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.542 | $260.96 | +$73.75 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 20:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2643991601 | $127.18 |
| 05-23 20:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2743453831 | $751.18 |
| 04-08 21:09 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.1563962815 | $200.00 |
| 03-14 17:49 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.2202997543 | $25.00 |
| 03-14 14:18 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.2371710932 | $60.00 |
| 03-13 18:05 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.2951471082 | $90.00 |
| 03-13 15:29 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.2074693336 | $90.00 |
| 03-13 03:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3865705982 | $140.00 |
| 03-13 03:15 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.1724393617 | $100.00 |
| 03-13 02:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3866158248 | $300.00 |
| 03-13 02:53 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.1434926101 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 01:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3909999987 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 01:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3909315711 | $500.00 |
| 03-11 23:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999993 | $300.00 |
| 03-11 17:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3875597287 | $100.00 |