0x65a5E2B127bf5E9F8EBdF6EbDeDa7f1da430F5b7-1745361504833
0x65a5e2b127bf5e9f8ebdf6ebdeda7f1da430f5b7
- Realised P&L
- $550.24
- Volume
- $256.3k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $19.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.29at 0.036Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$112.50at 0.640Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?
- +$58.11at 0.001Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
- +$50.44at 0.050Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$46.75at 0.010Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:11 | Will Atlante FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 17:59 | Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 03:09 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 22:27 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-23 02:34 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-23 02:34 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | SELL | 0.118374 | $2.37 |
| 08-08 01:37 | Exact Score: Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Atlas FC? | BUY | 0.919999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 02:33 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-19 22:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.057 | $1.71 |
| 07-19 21:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.322 | $1.18 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.368 | $1.84 |
| 07-19 20:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.398 | $3.98 |
| 07-19 19:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.401 | $3.77 |
| 07-19 19:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.399 | $39.90 |