PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lucasadonisryan

0x659c4ddac24f2d56830a468693b2915a54f8d142

Realised P&L
$-967.09
Volume
$332.1k
Markets traded
546
Open portfolio
$457.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded546
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0910.836$104.95+$93.52
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.0800.515$103.00+$87.00
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.145$29.00+$15.00
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.0510.138$27.50+$17.23
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.085$26.25+$4.63
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? · Yes0.1000.115$23.00+$3.00
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.073$14.60+$8.60
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.065$13.00+$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.060$12.00$8.00
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.050$9.90$2.10
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.059$8.57$2.95
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.039$7.80$4.20
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.038$7.70$4.30
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.035$6.90+$2.90
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.021$5.61$2.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 21:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?BUY0.1$2.40
06-14 12:08Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?BUY0.021$0.34
06-11 09:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?SELL0.07$0.70
05-18 06:04Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.981$4.91
05-18 06:04Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.98$4.90
05-18 05:21Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.972$4.86
04-17 16:53Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.982$4.91
04-17 16:53Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.994$4.97
03-24 09:01Will BNB dip to $200 in March?BUY0.999$5.00
03-24 09:01Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?BUY0.999$5.00
03-24 09:01Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?BUY0.999$5.00
02-25 08:49Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?BUY0.999$5.00
02-25 08:49Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?BUY0.997$4.99
02-25 08:49Will XRP dip to $0.20 in February?BUY0.999$5.00
01-02 09:01Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?BUY0.994$4.97