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Traders

lucasadonisryan

0x659c4ddac24f2d56830a468693b2915a54f8d142

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$332.1k
Markets traded
546
Open portfolio
$340.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded546
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0910.901$113.24+$101.81
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.0800.290$58.00+$42.00
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? · Yes0.1000.190$38.00+$18.00
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.075$15.00+$1.00
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.056$11.20+$5.20
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.034$10.34−$11.27
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.049$9.70−$0.30
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.0510.046$9.20−$1.07
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.040$7.90−$12.10
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.032$6.30−$5.70
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.029$5.70+$1.70
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.026$5.30−$6.70
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9941.000$5.00+$0.03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.989$4.94+$0.04
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.032$4.54−$6.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 21:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?BUY0.1$2.40
06-14 12:08Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?BUY0.021$0.34
06-11 09:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?SELL0.07$0.70
05-18 06:04Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.981$4.91
05-18 06:04Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.98$4.90
05-18 05:21Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.972$4.86
04-17 16:53Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.982$4.91
04-17 16:53Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.994$4.97
03-24 09:01Will BNB dip to $200 in March?BUY0.999$5.00
03-24 09:01Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?BUY0.999$5.00
03-24 09:01Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?BUY0.999$5.00
02-25 08:49Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?BUY0.999$5.00
02-25 08:49Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?BUY0.997$4.99
02-25 08:49Will XRP dip to $0.20 in February?BUY0.999$5.00
01-02 09:01Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?BUY0.994$4.97
Trader lucasadonisryan · PolyBot Pro