PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Transpottinng

0x659233cc68d90fbc9eb2197c4a18ef2468c7291e

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$100.4k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$337.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? · No0.8070.995$149.17+$28.12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? · Yes0.9471.000$119.94+$6.34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5100.285$68.40−$54.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 00:57Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.953$38.12
09-17 05:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.13$1.95
09-14 17:58Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.85$310.02
09-13 13:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12?SELL0.999$99.90
09-13 12:22LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSELL0.0311148272$1.40
09-12 10:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11?SELL0.999$54.95
09-10 04:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 10?BUY0.91$4.55
09-09 10:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 9?SELL0.999$87.39
09-09 04:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?BUY0.91875$73.50
09-08 17:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 8?SELL0.999$119.88
09-08 16:34US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaBUY0.89$89.49
09-07 03:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?BUY0.93$7.44
09-06 08:20LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.48$59.52
09-06 04:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?BUY0.72$3.60
09-05 17:21US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen ZhengSELL0.721$36.05